{"id":1085,"date":"2022-08-10T06:23:56","date_gmt":"2022-08-10T06:23:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/luavangvina.com\/?p=1085"},"modified":"2022-08-10T08:07:45","modified_gmt":"2022-08-10T08:07:45","slug":"world-wheat-trade-in-the-2014-2015-season-continues-to-remain-stable","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/luavangvina.com\/en\/world-wheat-trade-in-the-2014-2015-season-continues-to-remain-stable\/","title":{"rendered":"World wheat trade in the 2014\/2015 season continues to remain stable"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">Wheat prices are increasingly stable despite adverse weather and tense political situation<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">The record wheat production in 2013 increased the supply needed for the world and helped push international wheat prices down sharply lower than in 2012. However, by the third week of February, wheat prices Exports have started to grow due to concerns about the effects of a prolonged drought in major wheat growing regions in the United States and escalating tensions in the Black Sea region. Even so, international wheat prices lost momentum in April as the rains came, erasing concerns in the market. Besides, wheat exports from the Black Sea are not affected by the territorial issues between Ukraine and Russia.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">Similarly, on <\/span><strong><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CBOT)<\/span><\/strong><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"> , futures wheat export transactions to neighboring regions have rebounded in recent months thanks to stable weather and political conditions. However, in April, the optimistic outlook for global wheat production in 2014 depressed the price of wheat for September delivery and the average price decreased slightly year-on-year. Given the prospect of ample supplies for coarse grains, low-quality feed wheats are unlikely to increase in price. Meanwhile, the price of high-quality wheat (protein) according to\u00a0 <\/span><strong><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">the Kansas Exchange (KCBT)<\/span><\/strong><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"> \u00a0is likely to remain stable amid tight supply.<\/span><img src=\"http:\/\/luavangvina.com\/data-images\/article\/article_24\/Gia_gao_xuat_khau_My_so_2_H.W._Gulf_2014.jpg\" alt=\"\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img src=\"http:\/\/luavangvina.com\/data-images\/article\/article_24\/Gia_lua_my_giao_thang_9_2014_tren_san_CBOT.jpg\" alt=\"\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">World wheat trade in the 2014\/15 season did not change much compared to the 2013\/14 season<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">The growing demand for wheat imports in the\u00a0 <\/span><em><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">Asia<\/span><\/em><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"> region \u00a0was an important contributor to keeping world wheat trade high in the 2014\/15 season. Total imports in Asia were 74 million tons, down only slightly from the peak of the 2013\/14 season; in which the largest decrease is\u00a0 <\/span><strong><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">China<\/span><\/strong><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"> . However, wheat imports from other countries in the region are likely to remain the same, or even surpass, the 2013\/14 forecast.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img src=\"http:\/\/luavangvina.com\/data-images\/article\/article_24\/Nhap_khau_lua_my_theo_khu_vuc_2014.jpg\" alt=\"\" \/><\/p>\n<table border=\"0\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">The amount of wheat imported by\u00a0 <\/span><strong><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">the Islamic Republic of Iran<\/span><\/strong><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"> \u00a0remains high, especially the easing of economic sanctions will create favorable conditions for trade transactions. Strong domestic demand for wheat also helped stimulate increased imports in\u00a0 <\/span><strong><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">Indonesia<\/span><\/strong><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"> . As a country that cannot produce wheat, the growing demand for wheat products has made a traditionally rice-consuming country like Indonesia a major importer of wheat. third in the world after Egypt and China. In\u00a0 <\/span><strong><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">the Arab Republic of Syria<\/span><\/strong><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"> , wheat imports will increase compared to 2013 based on predictions of another below average harvest as the country faces severe uncertainties due to the conflict is going on.<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p><img src=\"http:\/\/luavangvina.com\/data-images\/article\/article_24\/Xuat_khau_lua_my_cua_EU_2014.jpg\" alt=\"\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">In\u00a0 <\/span><em><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">Africa,<\/span><\/em><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"> \u00a0total wheat imports in the 2014\/15 season are forecast to reach 40 million tonnes, almost unchanged from 2013\/14. Among the countries in North Africa,\u00a0 <\/span><strong><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">Egypt<\/span><\/strong><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"> \u00a0is expected to maintain wheat imports at 10.5 million tonnes, roughly the same as the 2013\/14 crop but down 1 million tonnes from the previous season record. 2011\/12 case. Although the Egyptian government has increased the amount purchased from farmers in 2014 to 4.25 million tons (about 500,000 tons higher than in 2013), there is no sign that imports will decrease in the season. crop 2014\/15 due to high wheat demand while domestic production stagnated. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">While the import situation in\u00a0 <\/span><strong><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">Tunisia<\/span><\/strong><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">\u00a0expected to decrease by 400 thousand tons due to the recovery of domestic production, in contrast in\u00a0 <\/span><strong><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">Morocco<\/span><\/strong><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"> \u00a0with weak production increased wheat imports to 1 million tons. Wheat imports in other countries in Africa are forecast to remain stable. In\u00a0 <\/span><strong><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">Nigeria<\/span><\/strong><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"> , this is estimated at 4.2 million tons, equivalent to the 2013\/14 crop level. Although the government has announced a plan to use 75,000 hectares for wheat cultivation, domestic production is still very small. In\u00a0 <\/span><strong><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">South Africa<\/span><\/strong><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"> , domestic wheat prices have risen in recent months, partly due to a weakening currency, and partly due to a low winter harvest that has resulted in imports reaching a high, around $1,500. 8 million tons in the 2014\/15 season.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">In the euro<\/span><\/em><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"> area\u00a0 , wheat imports for the 2014\/15 season are forecast to reach 8.7 million tons, up nearly 2 million tons from the previous season, mainly from EU countries. Although wheat harvest is as high as in 2013\/14, it will have to make up for the loss of other coarse grains, namely barley. In <\/span><strong><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">Latin America and the Caribbean<\/span><\/strong><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"> , total wheat imports for the 2014\/15 season will be around 21 million tons, down nearly 2 million tons from the previous year. The main reason for this decline was the strong increase in domestic production in\u00a0 <\/span><strong><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">Brazil\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"> and\u00a0 <\/span><strong><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">Mexico<\/span><\/strong><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"> \u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">In terms of exports, fluctuations in the 2013\/14 season with strong increases in all major wheat exporting countries except\u00a0 <\/span><strong><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">Argentina<\/span><\/strong><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"> \u00a0and\u00a0 <\/span><strong><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">Australia<\/span><\/strong><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"> \u00a0make the forecast for wheat exports for the season 2014\/15 faced many difficulties. Political tensions in the Black Sea region made the 2014 wheat trade even more volatile. <\/span><strong><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">According to the latest FAO report, while EU<\/span><\/strong><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"> wheat exports for\u00a0 \u00a0the 2014\/15 season may fall by 3.5 million tons compared with the previous year, in\u00a0 <\/span><strong><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">Argentina<\/span><\/strong><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"> \u00a0and\u00a0 <\/span><strong><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">Australia\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"> exports will increase again. get a raise. Wheat exports from the EU in the 2013\/14 season are estimated to reach a record high of 29 million tonnes, up 34% from the previous season.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">In\u00a0 <\/span><strong><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">Canada<\/span><\/strong><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"> , despite forecasts of a decline in domestic production , exports in 2014 remained at 2013 levels due to ample wheat stocks . The upbeat production outlook in\u00a0 <\/span><strong><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">Kazakhstan\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"> is likely to help keep the\u00a0 <\/span><strong><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">Commonwealth <\/span><\/strong>\u00a0<strong><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">of Independent States\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"> country&#8217;s wheat exports at around the same level as the 2013\/14 season.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">Wheat exports from <\/span><strong><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">\u00a0Ukraine\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"> will also remain at the level of the previous year, especially in the event that the EU&#8217;s 2014\/15 crop imports increase as expected. <\/span><strong><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">Russian<\/span><\/strong><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"> wheat exports\u00a0 \u00a0may decline slightly, but shipments from the\u00a0 <\/span><strong><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">United States<\/span><\/strong><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"> \u00a0have remained stable thanks to the large trade with Brazil. Wheat exports from the United States to Brazil in 2013 reached their highest level in 30 years, due to declines in exports from Argentina and Brazil.\u00a0<\/span><strong><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">India<\/span><\/strong><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"> \u00a0is also forecast to have a large export supply based on expectations of a good crop in the country. <\/span><strong><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">However, Turkey\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"> &#8216;s domestic wheat production\u00a0 tends to decline sharply.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">According to <\/span><strong><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">VIETRADE<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Wheat prices are increasingly stable despite adverse weather and tense political situation The record wheat production in 2013 increased the supply needed for the world and helped push international wheat prices down sharply lower than in 2012. However, by the third week of February, wheat prices Exports have started to grow due to concerns about<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1105,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[24],"tags":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v19.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>World wheat trade in the 2014\/2015 season continues to remain stable - L\u00faa V\u00e0ng<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/luavangvina.com\/en\/world-wheat-trade-in-the-2014-2015-season-continues-to-remain-stable\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"World wheat trade in the 2014\/2015 season continues to remain stable - L\u00faa V\u00e0ng\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Wheat prices are increasingly stable despite adverse weather and tense political situation The record wheat production in 2013 increased the supply needed for the world and helped push international wheat prices down sharply lower than in 2012. 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